US Wildfire Trends: 2026 Running Well Above Average

A house burning at night as US Forest Service firefighters work nearby
Forest Service Taskforce 1600 at the Palisades Fire, Los Angeles, January 2025. Photo: USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Region via Wikimedia Commons, public domain.
Above average in 2026Updated 4 October 2026

Trend summary

  • As of 2 October 2026, 62,738 wildfires have burned 9,000,619 acres in the US this year.
  • That is 135% of the ten-year average number of fires and 147% of the average area for the date (National Interagency Fire Center).
  • 2025 had more fires than average (77,850) but less area burned (5.1 million acres). Its damage came from where fires burned, not how much.
  • Wildfires destroyed 18,385 structures in 2025, most of them in the January Palisades and Eaton fires in Los Angeles.
9.0macres burned in 2026 to 2 Oct
147%of 10-year average area for the date
18,385structures destroyed in 2025
12,773homes among them

What the numbers show

The NIFC National Fire News update for 2 October 2026 shows a heavy year: 62,738 fires against a ten-year average of 46,638 for the date, and 9.0 million acres against an average of 6.1 million.

The comparison with 2025 is instructive. The 2025 NICC annual report counted 77,850 wildfires but only 5,131,474 acres, more than two million acres below the five- and ten-year averages. Yet 2025 destroyed 18,385 structures, including 12,773 homes, and 16,324 of those losses were in Southern California. The Palisades and Eaton fires burned under 38,000 acres combined but killed more than 30 people.

What is driving it

Area burned depends on weather and fuel: dry winters, hot summers and wind. Losses depend on how many homes sit at the edge of wildland, and on wind-driven embers that travel ahead of the flame front. That is why a small fire near a city can matter more than a giant one in empty rangeland.

Recent cases

  • January 2025, Los Angeles: the Palisades and Eaton fires, driven by Santa Ana winds, destroyed about 16,000 structures between them.
  • 2026 season: large fires across Oregon, Idaho, Utah and Colorado pushed the year well above average by late summer.

Press releases and official reports, 2023–2026

Five key releases a year for the last four years, newest first. Most are from federal agencies; a few news reports are included where they are the clearest public record of an event. Releases from 2007–2022 are in the expandable list after 2023.

2026

2025

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2023

View 20 years of major wildfire press releases (2007–2026)80 more from 2007–2022, five a year, newest first

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2020

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Photo list

Firefighters silhouetted in front of a burning structure at night
Forest Service crews at the Palisades Fire, January 2025. Photo: USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Region via Wikimedia Commons, public domain.
Flames moving through dry hillside brush beside a road sign
The Hughes Fire burning along Lake Hughes Road, California, 22 January 2025. Photo: USDA Forest Service, Region 5 via Wikimedia Commons, public domain.

How this page is built. Figures come from the official statistical releases linked above; where agencies publish preliminary numbers we say so, because they are revised. Photos are public-domain or Creative Commons images credited in each caption; file photos are illustrative and are not from the events described unless the caption says so. This page tracks trends and is not personal safety, medical, legal or financial advice.